Climate Change, Uncertainty and Agriculture

Now there is no dearth of experts on climate change, nor even on global warming. Our global leaders are busy with international conferences; experts are predicting what is going to happen to agriculture or livelihood through applying AI devices and perditions.  Now we have started taking notes through a blend of participatory and non-participatory approaches, during 2023 ,  on what is the real time perception which is driving our farmers to set on their ground activities in terms of climate change, economic uncertainty And agricultural productivity. While the focus is on climate change, the farmers identified uncertainty of market is even more pernicious; if global warming has been the crux of discourses and geo-political concerns to most of the environmentalists, farmers are really concerns, as the data visualization goes deeper, depicts their increasing helplessness  over increasing joblessness. Hence, we applied mental Modelling and Fuzzy logics to capture the real interpretation based on ongoing perception and simulation eying on the future consequences.

As we feel the real crisis that crippled into farmers’ psychic ecosystem is the perceived uncertainty. To them not only climate has turned uncertain and unpredictable; the market response, cost and return of cropping, livelihood and agricultural occupation have isochronously turned chaotic, cryptic, fragile and uncertain.  Only from the state of West Bengal a close to five millions of migrant workers , drifted off their agricultural occupation, have been found to wander across during Covid pandemic just to survive.